Prof. Lasson: ‘Professional prognosticators’ wrong on Trump

Lasson low-res for web

In “Media wrong all along on Trump,” a March 24 op-ed in The Baltimore Sun, Professor Kenneth Lasson says the “professional prognosticators” have been spectacularly wrong about Donald Trump‘s significance in the race for the 2016 GOP nomination.

Lasson said the “entertainment factor” of this year’s campaign has been “ratcheted up all the more by the abject incoherence of the press and the pollsters in their predictions.”

Even seasoned political scientists failed to foresee Trump’s popularity, said Lasson, quoting the University of Virginia’s Larry Sabato, who said, “If Trump is nominated, then everything we think we know about presidential nominations is wrong.”

Concluded Lasson: “At this point of course we do not know how the 2016 party conventions will play out, but we can be certain that at the end of the process we will have a new president — whose policies and disposition will be both governed more by unforeseen circumstances than by party politics, and constrained by the Constitution more than by campaign rhetoric.”

Learn more about Professor Lasson.

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